2023 weather predictions California

CALIFORNIA — La Niña could stick around until as late as 2023, making it the third such weather event since 1950, according to the United Nations World Meteorological Organization.

The protracted La Niña weather event is credited with worsening California drought conditions, which has prompted significant water restrictions throughout the Golden State in recent months. Millions of acres across California also face tinderbox conditions about two years into the current La Niña weather event. The state saw some of its worst-ever wildfires during the current La Niña, and another year of hot, dry conditions would likely exacerbate the state's water shortages and wildfires.

La Niña is a climate pattern in the Pacific Ocean during which strong trade winds bring cold water to the surface off the coast of the Americas. The weather event is known to cause drought in the United States and rains and flooding in the Pacific Northwest and Canada, according to the National Ocean Service. La Niña is the cold opposite of El Niño and causes cold winter weather in the north and warmer weather in the south.

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Should La Niña last through 2023, it would be only the third time the weather event has lasted for three consecutive winters in the northern hemisphere since 1950, according to the World Meteorological Organization.

The weather phenomenon is expected to decrease slightly through the summer and increase once again in the Northern Hemisphere in fall and early winter 2022, according to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center.

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The current La Niña event started in September 2020, according to the World Meteorological Organization. There is roughly a 70 percent chance the condition will extend into summer 2022 and a 50 to 60 percent chance of it lasting through July and September. That probability could go up again for the fall and winter.

Beyond California, La Niña has affected the ongoing drought in the Horn of Africa and Southern South America, according to the World Meteorological organization. The weather event also contributed to increased rainfall in Southeast Asia and Australia and a predicted nasty hurricane season in the Atlantic.

"Human induced climate change amplifies the impacts of naturally occurring events like La Niña and is increasingly influencing our weather patterns, in particular through more intense heat and drought and the associated risk of wildfires — as well as record-breaking deluges of rainfall and flooding,” World Meteorological Organization Secretary-General Petteri Taalas said in a news release.


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2023 weather predictions California

Region 1: Northeast
Winter temperatures will be above normal in the north and below normal in the south. The coldest periods will be in early and late January and late February. Precipitation will be above normal. Snowfall will be below normal in the north and above normal in the south, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-December and the first half of January.
 

2023 weather predictions California

Region 2: Atlantic Corridor
Winter temperatures will be below normal, while precipitation and snowfall will be above normal. The coldest periods will be in early December, early and late January, and most of February. The snowiest periods will be in early to mid-January, late January, and late February.

2023 weather predictions California

Region 3: Appalachians
Winter will be colder than normal, with near-normal precipitation and above-normal snowfall. The coldest periods will be early December, late January, and mid- to late February. The snowiest periods will be in early and late January and in February in the south. 

2023 weather predictions California

Region 4: Southeast
Winter temperatures will be below normal, with the coldest periods in early December, early and late January, and mid-February. Precipitation will be below normal. Snowfall will be above normal in the east and below normal in the west, with the best chances for snow in early and late January and mid-February.

2023 weather predictions California

Region 5: Florida
Winter will be colder and rainier than normal (1° below avg. in December, 3° below avg. in January, 4° below avg. in February, 1° below avg. in March) with the coldest temperatures in early and late January and mid-February.

2023 weather predictions California

Region 6: Lower Lakes
Winter will be colder than normal, with the coldest temperatures in early December and late January to mid-February. Both precipitation and snowfall will be above normal. The snowiest periods will be in late November to early December and early to mid-January.

2023 weather predictions California

Region 7: Ohio Valley
Winter will be colder than normal, with below-normal precipitation but above-normal snowfall. The coldest periods will occur in early and mid-December, early and late January, and much of February, with the snowiest periods throughout January and in late February and early March.

2023 weather predictions California

Region 8: Deep South
Winter will be colder than normal, with the coldest periods in early December and early and late January. Precipitation will be below normal, with abovenormal snowfall in the north. The best chances for snow in the north will be in early to mid-January and mid-February.

2023 weather predictions California

Region 9: Upper Midwest
Winter temperatures will be below normal, with the coldest periods in late November, early December, early and late January, and mid-February. Precipitation and snowfall will be below normal in the east and above normal in the west. The snowiest periods will be in late November, early and late December, and early and late March.

2023 weather predictions California

Region 10: Heartland
Winter will be colder than normal, on average, with the coldest periods in late November, early December, early to mid-January, and mid- to late February. Precipitation and snowfall will be above average in the east and below average in the west. The snowiest periods will be in late November, early to mid-January, and February. 

2023 weather predictions California

Region 11: Texas-Oklahoma
Winter will be colder than normal, with the coldest periods in early to mid-January and early to mid-February. Precipitation will be below average, but snowfall will be above average in the north, with the best chances for snow in mid- to late January and early February.

2023 weather predictions California

Region 12: High Plains
Winter will be colder than normal, with the coldest periods in late November, early December, early and late January, and early and late February. Precipitation and snowfall will be above normal in the north and below normal in the south. The snowiest periods will be in mid- to late November, mid- to late January, and early February.

2023 weather predictions California

Region 13: Intermountain
Winter will be warmer than normal, with the coldest periods in mid-November and early February. Precipitation will be above normal, with above-average snowfall in the far north and far south. The snowiest periods will be in mid- November, late December, early to mid-January, and early February.

2023 weather predictions California

Region 14: Desert Southwest
Winter will be warmer than normal, with above-normal precipitation. The coldest periods will be in late November, mid- and late December, and mid- January. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February.

2023 weather predictions California

Region 15: Pacific Northwest
Winter temperatures will be milder than normal, with slightly below-normal precipitation and snowfall. The coldest periods will be in mid-November and early and late December. The snowiest period will be in mid-November.

2023 weather predictions California

Region 16: Pacific Southwest
Winter will be warmer and wetter than normal, with above-normal mountain snows. The coldest temperatures will occur in mid-November, mid-January, and early February. The stormiest periods will be in mid- to late December, early and late January, early and late February, and late March.

2023 weather predictions California

Region 17: Alaska
Winter temperatures will be much milder than normal, with the coldest periods in mid- to late November, early December, and late January. Precipitation and snowfall will be below normal, on average, with the snowiest periods in early November, mid-December, late January, and early February.

2023 weather predictions California

Region 18: Hawaii
Winter temperatures will be warmer than normal, with the coolest periods in mid-November and mid- to late February. Rainfall will be below normal, with the stormiest periods in early and late November and early March.

Will there be an El Niño in 2023?

However, as the 3rd year of La Nina continues, Climate Impact Company is forecasting El Nino to form later in 2023. By early next year, the very warm SSTA pattern enhanced by the negative Indian Ocean Dipole (-IOD) in the far eastern equatorial Indian Ocean will fade.

What kind of winter is predicted for 2022 in California?

November 2022 to October 2023. Winter will be warmer and wetter than normal, with above-normal mountain snows. The coldest temperatures will occur in mid-November, mid-January, and early February. The stormiest periods will be in mid- to late December, early and late January, early and late February, and late March.

Is it going to be a dry winter in California?

In April 2022, officials conducted a snow survey in a dry meadow at Phillips Station in the Sierra Nevada. A warm, dry winter is in store for much of California as La Niña conditions are slated to persist through at least January, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

How accurate is the farmers almanac?

The almanacs say they can predict weather with around 80 percent accuracy, but a University of Illinois study disagreed, saying the Almanac was only about 52 percent accurate—which is essentially random chance.