Paradise, Nevada, USA; Las Vegas Raiders coach Josh McDaniels [left] and quarterback Derek Carr [4] celebrate after the game against the New England Patriots at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
With the 2022 NFL past its midway point, PFF takes a look at how the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft is stacking up.
We've also highlighted each team's remaining strength of schedule [1 is hardest, 32 is easiest], projected win total and playoff probability, courtesy of the NFL Power Rankings tool.
| Pick | Team | Record | Remaining SoS | Projected win total | Playoff prob. |
| 1 | Houston Texans | 1-8-1 | 5 | 3.3 | 0% |
| 2 | Carolina Panthers | 3-8 | 31 | 5.3 | 3% |
| 3 | Chicago Bears | 3-8 | 6 | 4.9 | 0% |
| 4 | Las Vegas Raiders | 3-7 | 7 | 6.1 | 4% |
| 5 | Seattle Seahawks [via DEN] | 3-7 | 15 | 9.4 | 64% |
| 6 | Detoit Lions [via LAR] | 3-7 | 22 | 7.0 | 10% |
| 7 | Houston Texans [via CLV] | 3-7 | 5 | 3.3 | 0% |
| 8 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 3-7 | 23 | 6.3 | 3% |
| 9 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 3-7 | 10 | 5.8 | 3% |
| 10 | Philadelphia Eagles [via NO] | 4-7 | 18 | 13.5 | 100% |
| 11 | Arizona Cardinals | 4-6 | 9 | 7.4 | 13% |
| 12 | Green Bay Packers | 4-7 | 17 | 7.2 | 11% |
| 13 | Detroit Lions | 4-6 | 22 | 7.0 | 10% |
| 14 | Indianapolis Colts | 4-6-1 | 24 | 7.6 | 14% |
| 15 | Atlanta Falcons | 5-6 | 13 | 7.3 | 19% |
| 16 | Los Angeles Chargers | 5-5 | 12 | 8.3 | 33% |
| 17 | Washington Commanders | 6-5 | 19 | 9.0 | 51% |
| 18 | New York Jets | 6-4 | 19 | 9.3 | 52% |
| Wild-card round | |||||
| 19 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5-5 | 25 | 9.2 | 81% |
| 20 | Denver Broncos [via SF] | 5-4 | 4 | 5.9 | 1% |
| 21 | Seattle Seahawks | 6-4 | 15 | 9.4 | 64% |
| 22 | New England Patriots | 6-4 | 2 | 8.9 | 50% |
| 23 | Cincinnati Bengals | 6-4 | 1 | 9.6 | 64 |
| 24 | Buffalo Bills | 7-3 | 19 | 11.9 | 95% |
| Divisional round | |||||
| 25 | Baltimore Ravens | 7-3 | 29 | 11.3 | 93% |
| 26 | Tennessee Titans | 7-3 | 28 | 11.3 | 97% |
| 27 | Dallas Cowboys | 7-3 | 26 | 11.5 | 96% |
| 28 | New York Giants | 7-3 | 3 | 9.7 | 61% |
| Conference Championship | |||||
| 29 | Miami Dolphins | 7-3 | 8 | 10.9 | 87% |
| 30 | Minnesota Vikings | 8-2 | 31 | 12.1 | 99% |
| Super Bowl | |||||
| 31 | Kansas City Chiefs | 8-2 | 30 | 13.2 | 100% |
| 32 | Philadelphia Eagles [via NO] | 9-1 | 18 | 13.5 | 100% |
** Miami has forfeited the 24th overall pick
CLICK HERE TO VIEW PFF's 2023 NFL DRAFT BOARD
• Houston Texans in line to take QB Bryce Young? Even without the two top-50 picks he had at receiver a season ago, Young is still the second-highest-graded passer in the Power Five [90.1].
He’s come up big in crunch time on multiple occasions and shown the “it” factor it takes to succeed in the NFL. The scary thing is that his stats should look even better, but he’s suffered an 8.1% drop rate from his receivers this year. His size could scare teams off in a talented quarterback class, but it’s about the only knock on his game.
• T.J. Watt and Will Anderson Jr. in Pittsburgh? You won’t find many 243-pound edge rushers who come with no concerns about their size. And that’s just how powerful and explosive Anderson is. After leading the country in pressures as a true sophomore, Anderson has 44 so far this season as the focal point of the Bama defense.
• A new WR1 for Justin Fields and the Chicago Bears? In nine years of college grading, we have not seen a wide receiver quite like Quentin Johnston. At a rangy 6-foot-4, 215 pounds, he is a terror with the ball in his hands. His broken-tackle rate over his career is unlike anything we’ve graded, with 41 forced missed tackles on 97 career receptions. That’s what you’d expect from a receiver with a running back-esque build like Deebo Samuel, not a pterodactyl like Johnston.
• Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd and…TE Michael Mayer? Mayer looks like one of the safest picks in the draft. Not only is he the focal point of Notre Dame's offense — he has 51 catches for 624 yards and seven scores on the year — but he also works his backside off in the run game. At 6-foot-4, 265 pounds, he's built for the NFL.
What team has most draft picks for 2023?
Who has the first round pick NFL 2023?
How many picks are in the NFL Draft 2023?
2023 NFL Draft | |
General information | |
259 total selections in 7 rounds | |
League | National Football League |
2024 → |